Have 2023 Cancer Screening Rates Rebounded After the COVID-19 Pandemic-Related Screening Declines?
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE:
- Cancer screening rates declined during COVID and in the immediate aftermath, leading to increased cancer diagnoses at later stages
- Star et al. (JAMA, 2025) estimated post-pandemic cancer screening rates in 2023 relative to previously documented declines through 2021
METHODS:
- Analysis of screening trends
- Data from National Health Interview Survey
- Population
- Nationally representative cross-sectional cohort of noninstitutionalized US adults
- Exposures
- Before the COVID-19 pandemic: 2019
- During: 2021
- After: 2023
- Study design
- Adjustments were made for nonresponse bias
- Screening eligibility and strategies were defined according to the USPSTF recommendations
- Logistic regression models estimated adjusted prevalence ratios (aPRs)
- Adjustments: was Age | Race and ethnicity | Education | Insurance | Region
- Primary outcomes
- Self-reported breast | Cervical | Colorectal cancer screening
RESULTS:
- 2023 eligibility for screening
- Breast cancer: 6829 | Cervical cancer: 8888 | Colorectal cancer: 13,144
- Between 2019 and 2023, reported past-year breast and colorectal cancer screening increased
- Breast: 7% increase
- Prevalence estimate 59.7 to 64.9%
- aPR 1.07 (95% CI, 1.04 to 1.10)
- Colorectal: 12%
- Prevalence estimate: 21.2 to 24.3%
- aPR 1.12 (95% CI, 1.06 to 1.18)
- Breast: 7% increase
- Underlying these increases were
- Rebounds between 2021 and 2023 in breast cancer screening
- 56.9 to 64.9%
- aPR 1.14 (95% CI, 1.11 to 1.18)
- Rebounds between 2021 and 2023 in colonoscopy screening
- 13.8 to 15.7%
- aPR 1.13 (95% CI, 1.06 to 1.22)
- Sustained increases in stool testing
- 2019: 6.6%
- 2021: 10.1%
- 2023: 10.1%
- Rebounds between 2021 and 2023 in breast cancer screening
- Reported cervical cancer screening in 2023 remained below 2019 estimates
- 14% decrease
- Prevalence estimate 46.8 to 40.9%
- aPR 0.86 (95% CI, 0.82 to 0.90)
- Colorectal cancer screening increased between 2019 and 2023 for college graduates, but did not change in individuals with a high school degree or less
- Breast cancer screening met or exceeded 2019 levels across screening groups as screening rebounded between 2021 and 2023
- Cervical cancer screening rebounded between 2021 and 2023 among college graduates, but remained below 2019 levels for most education groups
CONCLUSION:
- Reported breast and colorectal cancer screening rates rebounded after pandemic-related decreases
- In 2023 screening rates were higher than pre-pandemic levels
- Cervical cancer screening remained below pre-pandemic levels
- The authors state
Cervical cancer screening rates remained below prepandemic levels, a troubling trend as early-stage diagnoses continued to decrease in 2021
The persistent decline may in part reflect longer-term declines in patient knowledge and clinician recommendation of cervical cancer screening
Learn More – Primary Sources:
Cancer Screening 3 Years After the Onset of the COVID-19 Pandemic
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