Meta-Analysis: Do GLP-1RAs Impact Risk of Obesity-Related Cancer?
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE:
- Whether GLP-1RAs, such as semaglutide or tirzepatide, are associated with cancer risk is unclear
- Ko et al. (Annals of Internal Medicine, 2025) investigated the risk for obesity-related cancer associated with GLP-1RAs
METHODS:
- Systematic review and meta-analysis
- Inclusion criteria
- Randomized placebo-controlled trials
- Studies that reported on cancer outcomes
- Thyroid | Pancreatic | Colorectal | Gastric | Esophageal | Liver | Gallbladder | Breast | Ovarian | Endometrial | Kidney | Multiple myeloma | Meningioma
- Study design
- Risk of bias was assessed
- Certainty of evidence was assessed with GRADE criteria
- Random-effects meta-analysis was used to generate pooled odds ratios
- Primary outcome
- Cancer risk
RESULTS:
- 48 trials | 94,245 participants
- GLP-1RAs probably have little or no effect on risk of
- Thyroid cancer
- Odds ratio (OR) 1.37 (95% CI, 0.82 to 2.31)
- –1 to 9 cases per 10,000 patients treated | Moderate certainty
- Pancreatic cancer
- OR 0.84 (95% CI, 0.53 to 1.35)
- –9 to 6 per 10,000 patients treated | Moderate certainty
- Breast cancer
- OR 0.95 (95% CI, 0.60 to 1.49)
- –10 to 12 per 10,000 patients treated | Moderate certainty
- Kidney cancer
- OR 1.12 (95% CI, 0.78 to 1.60)
- –5 to 13 per 10,000 patients treated | Moderate certainty
- Thyroid cancer
- GLP-1RAs may have little or no effect on
- Colorectal | Esophageal | Liver | Gallbladder | Ovarian | Endometrial cancer
- Multiple myeloma | Meningioma
- All low certainty
- The effect of GLP1-RAs on gastric cancer is very uncertain
- These results remained the same after additional analyses
- Trials with low risk of bias
- Studies on semaglutide or tirzepatide
- Results were also consistent across subgroups stratified by
- Follow-up duration | Population | GLP-1RA class | Weight loss profile | Dose | Duration of action
CONCLUSION:
- GLP1-RAs may have little to no impact on the risk of cancers associated with obesity
- While the strength of this study is the use of RCTs, follow-up time was limited
- The authors state
Taken together, these findings offer important insights into the safety of GLP-1RAs but highlight the need for longer-term studies with cancer-specific end points to clarify potential risks or protective effects
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